News & Trends
July 30, 2025
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3
min read

AI SaaS pricing: Will outcome-based pricing boost valuations?

Editorial Team
By:
Editorial Team

Table of Contents

AI-powered SaaS is redefining how enterprise software creates value. Unlike traditional tools that rely on user input or static workflows, AI platforms are increasingly driving business outcomes autonomously by performing tasks such as identifying fraud in real-time, optimizing ad spend, or accelerating support resolution with minimal human oversight.

As this value becomes more measurable and outcome-specific, the disconnect between conventional pricing models and actual impact is widening. Most AI SaaS companies are still relying on seat-based pricing or usage-based pricing models that were designed for legacy architectures and don’t account for the nonlinear gains AI can deliver.

These models could support premium multiples when tied to performance-based earnouts or used to anchor valuations around realistic, achievable revenue expansion.

In general, according to BCG and ResultsCX, value-based pricing models have delivered 10–15% upside in margin realization compared to traditional approaches.

Read: AI Valuation Multiples: Most Valuable Industries in 2025

From usage-based pricing to outcome-based pricing

Pricing for SaaS has undergone several shifts in the past two decades. Here's a recap of the pricing models.

  • First, traditional pricing centered on seat-based licenses or tiered subscriptions. This model, used by platforms like Salesforce, charged customers for access, regardless of engagement or results.
  • Usage-based pricing gained popularity with modern infrastructure and API-driven companies like Snowflake and Twilio, where billing scales with consumption (e.g., compute hours, messages sent). This approach better aligns price with actual usage, but doesn’t always reflect delivered business impact.
  • Outcome-based pricing, the new pricing model, ties revenue to verified results such as conversions, resolutions, or cost savings rather than access or usage. It shifts the pricing conversation from inputs to impact.

Why AI SaaS pricing requires a new approach

AI-driven platforms don’t deliver uniform value per user. Two customers on identical plans may realize different return on investment (ROI) depending on factors like their data quality, use case maturity, or internal processes. As a result, one-size-fits-all pricing often fails to capture value fairly or consistently.

On the other hand, buyers are also becoming more ROI-conscious. As AI adoption moves from experimentation to operational deployment, internal teams want clearer performance guarantees.

This is giving rise to hybrid models where there's a fixed fee plus a performance-based bonus. These structures balance predictability with value-based upside, aligning vendor incentives with customer success.

"For organisations with high operational costs, outsourcing specific tasks to AI services that guarantee concrete outcomes is an increasingly attractive option. Take Sierra, for example: businesses integrate Sierra into their customer support systems to efficiently manage customer queries. Instead of paying for software licences or cloud-based services, they pay Sierra based on the number of successful resolutions. This outcome-based model aligns costs directly with the results delivered, allowing organisations to harness AI for specific tasks and pay solely for the outcomes achieved," stated PwC's Agentic AI: the new frontier in GenAI report.

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Strategic upside: outcome-based pricing and NRR

Net Revenue Retention (NRR) is one of the most important metrics in SaaS investing. It reflects not only customer satisfaction but also pricing leverage, expansion potential, and long-term revenue durability. Investors view high NRR as a proxy for strong product-market fit and compounding growth, two factors that materially influence valuation.

Outcome-based pricing can enhance NRR by directly tying pricing to customer success. When vendors monetize expansion through performance rather than just increased usage or seats, they create new levers for growth without requiring aggressive sales efforts or cost increases.

This approach also supports longer contract durations and post-MVP stickiness, as customers are more likely to commit to tools that charge only when real value is delivered. As pricing becomes embedded in product analytics (tracking outcomes like resolved tickets or verified conversions) it becomes operationalized, scalable, and defensible.

Examples in market:

  • Riskified: Charges per fraud-free transaction, aligning pricing with direct financial benefit.
  • Zendesk AI: Monetizes AI support resolution by charging per successfully resolved ticket, not per seat.

The risks in outcome-based pricing models

Outcome-based pricing comes with structural challenges. When poorly executed, it can create friction, slow deals, and damage trust. Here are some of the most common risks:

Attribution complexity

Outcomes often depend on multiple variables, including internal teams and workflows, as well as external factors such as regulatory constraints or third-party dependencies. This makes it difficult to assign clear ownership of results. Without pre-defined KPIs and mutual agreement on attribution logic, disagreements about what constitutes a “successful” outcome can emerge.

Operational friction

Unlike standardized pricing models, outcome-based contracts are often custom-built. This places additional burden on finance, legal, and customer success teams to manage unique quote-to-cash processes, variable billing, and performance validations. Without clear frameworks, implementation delays are common.

Trust and perception

For buyers, especially those new to AI, outcome-based pricing can feel opaque or risky. If the model isn’t well-explained or if early performance varies, buyers may question the results or suspect that the vendor is gaming outcomes.

Data and infrastructure demands

Making this model work requires clear, real-time visibility. Vendors need to show exactly what outcomes were delivered, in a way that both sides can easily track and trust, otherwise, misunderstandings and billing disputes are almost inevitable.

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Decision framework: when to pursue outcome-based pricing

Compare Strategies

CRITERIA CONSIDER USING OUTCOME-BASED PRICING IF: PROCEED CAUTIOUSLY IF: AVOID FOR NOW IF:
Measuring ROI You have real-time ROI metrics Attribution is complex across functions Outputs are probabilistic or hard to verify
Customer Value Customers receive direct, measurable value Usage tracking is limited or unavailable You’re still pre product-market fit
Scalability Pricing logic is scalable Your GTM strategy depends on fixed pricing Contracts already face long sales cycles

Outcome pricing as a signal of value discipline

Outcome-based pricing isn’t right for every product, but when the results are measurable and the impact is clear, it can be a powerful lever. For founders, it’s worth testing early—especially in areas where ROI is easy to track and pricing can be built into how the product works.

To investors, it signals something deeper: a company that understands its value, aligns with customers, and builds with discipline. As McKinsey puts it, pricing strategy alone can drive up to 25% of total profit.

At L40, we help founders make the case for what their product truly delivers, turning measurable outcomes into a valuation story buyers can trust. Contact us.

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About the author
Editorial Team
Editorial Team
Insights & Research
Our editorial team shares strategic perspectives on mid-market software M&A, drawing from real transaction experience and deep sector expertise.
Disclaimer: The content published on L40° Insights is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Insights reflect market experience and strategic analysis but are general in nature. Each business is different, and valuations, deal dynamics, and outcomes can vary significantly based on company-specific factors and market conditions. For guidance tailored to your circumstances, reach out to L40 advisors for professional support.